Moving figures 1
Wednesday 13th May, 2020 – Noon
Those who haven't been keeping up with my blog (you bastards!) will have missed my blood-curdling predictions. Those of you who have kept up with them will be annoyed with me because to dare to predict such dire figures is inviting them to happen. Such is superstition (which we all claim we are not prey to). Mention bad stuff, and it happens. So, let's get something straight right now. It's all my fault.
Of course, it is not just mentioning bad figures and dire predictions that is the bothersome reality. It's having to work hard to realise that the figures represent real people who have died. They are figures, but not just figures. But in circumstances like this, people want to deal with the figures but not the reality. The alternative is to do anything to make the figures seem smaller. Hence the rise in mentions by politicians of Belgium. Because, you see, Belgium, having a smaller population, ends up having a larger per-thousand death rate than us. Fantastic. If you look at it through that end of the telesccope, we're fourth in the list of casualties in Europe. Not first. Hurrah!
Yesterday it became clear that all our death-toll figures are wrong. That is, they are massively underestimated. What is it this time? It began with only hospital deaths. Then they added care home deaths and deaths at home to correct the impression that things were better than they actually were. Surely that's it. They've got them all counted now, right?
Sorry. No.
The official figures are counting only those who have died having first been diagnosed with Covid-19. The figures exclude all those who have died but have not been tested. But that must be thousands? Actually it's tens of thousands.
To take just one example of the massive distortion in the numbers, in care homes they stop testing after five people in any home are found to have the disease. There might be another ten or twenty, or thirty or more, but since they were not tested, they were not diagnosed as having the disease. So they were not added to the figures when they died. The rationale goes that they can't be counted as victims of the disease, because it hasn't been established that they had the disease in the first place.
Anyone can see that this results in a lower figure than must, in reality, be true. It is still happening now, and the official figures continue to pump out to the world a death toll that is knowingly false.
So what is the true number and will it be adjusted?
Those who haven't been keeping up with my blog (you bastards!) will have missed my blood-curdling predictions. Those of you who have kept up with them will be annoyed with me because to dare to predict such dire figures is inviting them to happen. Such is superstition (which we all claim we are not prey to). Mention bad stuff, and it happens. So, let's get something straight right now. It's all my fault.
Of course, it is not just mentioning bad figures and dire predictions that is the bothersome reality. It's having to work hard to realise that the figures represent real people who have died. They are figures, but not just figures. But in circumstances like this, people want to deal with the figures but not the reality. The alternative is to do anything to make the figures seem smaller. Hence the rise in mentions by politicians of Belgium. Because, you see, Belgium, having a smaller population, ends up having a larger per-thousand death rate than us. Fantastic. If you look at it through that end of the telesccope, we're fourth in the list of casualties in Europe. Not first. Hurrah!
Yesterday it became clear that all our death-toll figures are wrong. That is, they are massively underestimated. What is it this time? It began with only hospital deaths. Then they added care home deaths and deaths at home to correct the impression that things were better than they actually were. Surely that's it. They've got them all counted now, right?
Sorry. No.
The official figures are counting only those who have died having first been diagnosed with Covid-19. The figures exclude all those who have died but have not been tested. But that must be thousands? Actually it's tens of thousands.
To take just one example of the massive distortion in the numbers, in care homes they stop testing after five people in any home are found to have the disease. There might be another ten or twenty, or thirty or more, but since they were not tested, they were not diagnosed as having the disease. So they were not added to the figures when they died. The rationale goes that they can't be counted as victims of the disease, because it hasn't been established that they had the disease in the first place.
Anyone can see that this results in a lower figure than must, in reality, be true. It is still happening now, and the official figures continue to pump out to the world a death toll that is knowingly false.
So what is the true number and will it be adjusted?
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